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Measurement and Prediction

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How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business

How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business

Douglas Hubbard certainly knows how to throw down a dare. His book, How to Measure Anything: Finding the Intangibles in Business  certainly is a superlative title. The promise is that you’ll be able to measure absolutely anything with the techniques lai...
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don’t (Predictions)

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don’t (Predictions)

People make predictions all the time. They predict that their team will win the Super Bowl, or they’ll win the lottery. These predictions are based on little more than hope. The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail- but Some Don’t  see...
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don’t (Statistics and Models)

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don’t (Statistics and Models)

In the first part of this review we spoke of how people make predictions all the time. The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail- but Some Don’t  has more to offer than some generic input on predictions, it has a path for us to walk abo...
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Nearly everyone has fantasized about getting a winning lottery ticket, even if we don’t play the lottery. The number one desire for a time traveling machine may be to go into the future and get the list of lottery numbers, so we can come back and win. W...
The Tyranny of Metrics

The Tyranny of Metrics

Everyone has been held accountable for metrics that they didn’t own the results of. Whether it was sales, profitability, or some other metric, we’ve been subject to The Tyranny of Metrics . That does not necessarily mean, however, that all metrics are ...